Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 3.363217e-05 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071 0.000082
2025-02-23 2.551054e-05 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000066 0.000080 0.000098
2025-03-02 1.904860e-05 0.000027 0.000037 0.000051 0.000067 0.000086 0.000109
2025-03-09 1.480295e-05 0.000023 0.000034 0.000049 0.000068 0.000092 0.000122
2025-03-16 1.169064e-05 0.000020 0.000032 0.000048 0.000070 0.000097 0.000133
2025-03-23 9.477887e-06 0.000018 0.000030 0.000048 0.000072 0.000104 0.000146
2025-03-30 7.673553e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000047 0.000074 0.000109 0.000158
2025-04-06 6.004763e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000045 0.000074 0.000113 0.000166
2025-04-13 4.424429e-06 0.000011 0.000023 0.000043 0.000072 0.000113 0.000171
2025-04-20 3.405026e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000041 0.000072 0.000115 0.000179
2025-04-27 2.784179e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000041 0.000074 0.000121 0.000190
2025-05-04 2.295469e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000041 0.000076 0.000126 0.000202
2025-05-11 2.056771e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000043 0.000082 0.000139 0.000225
2025-05-18 1.560321e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000043 0.000084 0.000145 0.000239
2025-05-25 1.053060e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000041 0.000083 0.000147 0.000247
2025-06-01 7.323280e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000083 0.000151 0.000258
2025-06-08 5.039767e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000039 0.000084 0.000155 0.000269
2025-06-15 3.539649e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000085 0.000161 0.000283
2025-06-22 2.383540e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000038 0.000086 0.000166 0.000296
2025-06-29 1.402290e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000086 0.000168 0.000305
2025-07-06 6.427136e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000034 0.000083 0.000167 0.000308
2025-07-13 3.014696e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000033 0.000082 0.000169 0.000316
2025-07-20 1.584785e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000033 0.000084 0.000175 0.000330